College Football · resolved market
Will Miami beat Virginia Tech?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92be26511c64123f595770b92cc96d634ff9b06bfa1602b97f4ce1be33d2e302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miamiof Miami, VA Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked VA Tech | 3c | 6,700$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed VA Tech | 11c | 5,245$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.94 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e7…5e93backed Miami | 61c | 4,902$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked VA Tech | 39c | 4,412$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.02 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed VA Tech | 33c | 2,094$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked VA Tech | 41c | 1,558$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.75 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Miami | 57c | 1,349$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.75 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Miami | 49c | 1,163$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Miami | 54c | 1,118$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.12 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed VA Tech | 10c | 1,111$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Miami | 64c | 1,000$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed VA Tech | 50c | 1,000$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…9d5bbacked VA Tech | 49c | 930$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed VA Tech | 64c | 793.65$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.49 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked VA Tech | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed VA Tech | 16c | 660.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed VA Tech | 16c | 312.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…50e2backed VA Tech | 41c | 301.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked VA Tech | 9c | 250.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked VA Tech | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed VA Tech | 12c | 234.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked VA Tech | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed VA Tech | 41c | 108.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…4c76backed VA Tech | 49c | 100.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Miami | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed VA Tech | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Miami | 76c | 30.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Miami | 61c | 22.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…3ee3backed Miami | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…d62ebacked Miami | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c36…52b9backed VA Tech | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Miami beat Virginia Tech?this page
- Will Miami and Virginia Tech combine for 55 or more points?Over won
- Will Miami beat Virginia Tech by 18 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.