Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Anderlecht beat Ludogorets?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c5ca21f8cbeec2e72a5572233094286b15d98ca99763ebb094fc49735ca4820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 56c | 2,748$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.45 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 43c | 1,021$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.86 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 38c | 563.42$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.13 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 46c | 454.43$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 41c | 223.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…cdd5backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…2891backed No | 44c | 156.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 58c | 153$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 42c | 119.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…f4e5backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 45c | 85.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 63c | 79.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 34c | 76.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5e…91dabacked Yes | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0a…fc1cbacked No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…540cbacked Yes | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf76…53c3backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…68c7backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…5508backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb26b…ca53backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b31…4c44backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…1da5backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20d…13e9backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd873…32f6backed Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…5633backed Yes | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f5…2a20backed Yes | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anderlecht beat Ludogorets?this page
- Will Ludogorets beat Anderlecht?No won
- Will the match between Anderlecht and Ludogorets end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.