Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Porto beat Hoffenheim?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb313e38215eb8c0ef92f625b64b00c86f88ce859e03785d34672227387b1b87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 66c | 2,510$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.91 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f6…3bcabacked No | 33c | 659.38$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 63c | 562.5$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa863…6faabacked Yes | 71c | 538.73$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d3…212fbacked Yes | 71c | 529.93$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…07ffbacked No | 33c | 409.09$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…a51dbacked No | 33c | 357.66$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…d3adbacked Yes | 71c | 209.86$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked Yes | 70c | 198.56$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…c663backed Yes | 71c | 197.9$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 67c | 149.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe66…4fd4backed Yes | 71c | 147.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292c…fb29backed No | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0190…c434backed Yes | 69c | 112.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 102.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 178 | 35.4%63 W · 115 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 71c | 77.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 69c | 76.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…33c0backed Yes | 66c | 71.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…08e3backed No | 30c | 64.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 32c | 50.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 34c | 46.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…bd3ebacked Yes | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed No | 30c | 34.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…308cbacked Yes | 67c | 20.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d0…c678backed Yes | 66c | 18.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.