College Football · resolved market
Will Oklahoma beat Auburn?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecd29d2d77f0692a2419826f694cc2fd58ace46ac022cac76b702b483791e83e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahomaof Oklahoma, Auburn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Auburn | 51c | 2,137$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.75 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…a0dabacked Oklahoma | 45c | 1,643$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Oklahoma | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Auburn | 52c | 1,195$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.73 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Oklahoma | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Auburn | 54c | 458.25$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.04 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96fa…baadbacked Auburn | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked Auburn | 38c | 260$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Oklahoma | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…970abacked Oklahoma | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed Auburn | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Auburn | 50c | 160.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Oklahoma | 50c | 146.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a8…54dfbacked Auburn | 53c | 99.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…0e3bbacked Oklahoma | 48c | 98.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…4e32backed Auburn | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Oklahoma | 45c | 67.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Auburn | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Oklahoma | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Auburn | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…5924backed Oklahoma | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…3ee3backed Oklahoma | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Auburn | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…f6d2backed Oklahoma | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Oklahoma | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf3…d285backed Auburn | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oklahoma beat Auburn?this page
- Will Oklahoma and Auburn combine for 46 or more points?Over won
- Will Oklahoma beat Auburn by 3 or more points?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.