MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x491fd405355ef7e326c208bf89a4f41c8c37c70b8f36ca60285d6ecc862e87c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Athletics, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $164,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Athletics | 47c | 110,330$51,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,855.26 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Pirates | 53c | 51,023$27,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,001.3 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Pirates | 53c | 36,704$19,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,250.88 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 53c | 20,965$11,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,864.17 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 53c | 7,307$3,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440.88 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pirates | 66c | 2,324$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.35 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.55 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,882$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics | 27c | 1,841$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.07 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 40c | 1,309$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 76c | 1,144$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.84 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Pirates | 52c | 1,063$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.05 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Athletics | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Athletics | 21c | 827.06$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 47c | 751$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.97 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Athletics | 48c | 702.08$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Athletics | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Athletics | 48c | 521$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 47c | 500$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.65 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 57c | 475.4$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pirates | 50c | 424$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 47c | 393$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.71 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 74c | 386.48$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Athletics | 4c | 378.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Athletics | 23c | 369.46$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Athletics | 46c | 366.94$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.96 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Pirates | 53c | 350$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Athletics | 47c | 334.04$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 48c | 331.29$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.02 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Athletics | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Athletics | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Athletics | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 51c | 296$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 48c | 224.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Athletics | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Athletics | 27c | 210$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Athletics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Athletics | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…8f62backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ed5abacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…c144backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…51a8backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…0255backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…69d9backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…c03ebacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe72…10a7backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9558backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…9886backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…bc26backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…13cdbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…4f1fbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12d…2e6abacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…dd3ebacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…9ca6backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…2663backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4545…3405backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…d260backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…e163backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…59ddbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…6a2fbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…7bf6backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…7aa6backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…961cbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…28aabacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…ceb7backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc2…bfcfbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…dbe9backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…489fbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…9e04backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…4ce8backed Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…dc16backed Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…9b5dbacked Athletics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…d19cbacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…8fdebacked Pirates | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Piratesthis page
- Athletics vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.