NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90ba512fd84e68cb6a4ee865a614178cad9e2b5b27ef5efc83fa7794a71c9d2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Pacers, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Spurs | 75c | 3,214$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.16 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pacers | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Pacers | 26c | 2,870$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.95 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs | 73c | 2,564$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.69 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pacers | 1c | 2,372$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263b…cac0backed Spurs | 68c | 2,296$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.64 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Pacers | 23c | 2,217$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 64c | 1,779$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.94 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers | 35c | 1,631$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.18 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Spurs | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.19 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 37c | 1,299$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.63 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Pacers | 3c | 1,261$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pacers | 27c | 1,225$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.38 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…c104backed Spurs | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…620bbacked Pacers | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Pacers | 32c | 1,092$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.34 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Pacers | 33c | 1,003$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Spurs | 78c | 769.1$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Spurs | 69c | 767.38$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.78 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…2c46backed Spurs | 66c | 718.39$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Pacers | 44c | 667.73$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.54 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pacers | 33c | 609.25$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.05 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Pacers | 37c | 579.9$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.37 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Pacers | 33c | 579.89$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Spurs | 64c | 537.45$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…2053backed Pacers | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Spurs | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pacers | 3c | 476.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs | 70c | 416.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc34…8e75backed Pacers | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Pacers | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Spurs | 63c | 357$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Spurs | 61c | 326.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.39 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Pacers | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 124 | 27.4%34 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Spurs | 66c | 280.59$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 64c | 273.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pacers | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Pacers | 38c | 261.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Spurs | 72c | 253.9$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Spurs | 65c | 237$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Pacers | 32c | 217.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pacers | 20c | 206$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Spurs | 66c | 199.96$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…6507backed Pacers | 9c | 155.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 173 | 31.2%54 W · 119 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Spurs | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…dee1backed Pacers | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Pacers | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2dd…61dcbacked Pacers | 31c | 108.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Pacers | 34c | 101$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…f780backed Pacers | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Spurs | 62c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…61edbacked Pacers | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Spurs | 76c | 88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Spurs | 63c | 85.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pacers | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Pacers | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…4a9fbacked Spurs | 65c | 54.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 65c | 51.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c93bbacked Pacers | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 634 | 45.1%286 W · 348 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…7c77backed Spurs | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…d8b7backed Pacers | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Pacers | 33c | 36.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Pacers | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Pacers | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Pacers | 33c | 31.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a5…877dbacked Pacers | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…3be8backed Spurs | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Spurs | 66c | 16.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 291 | 56.4%164 W · 127 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a976backed Spurs | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.