MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f57f48445d8011e455883c113dccb51bdc1c18c000c089c0c6123b74718252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $638,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $635,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $638,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Athletics | 41c | 494,423$203,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203,386.94 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 271,000$159,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,370 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Blue Jays | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 36,835$21,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,112.12 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 35,000$20,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Blue Jays | 59c | 33,200$19,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,612 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Blue Jays | 70c | 32,383$22,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,853.16 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Athletics | 8c | 32,163$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.31 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Athletics | 11c | 8,510$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 60c | 7,650$4,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 7,204$4,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.88 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 7,000$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 7c | 6,862$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.09 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…2d03backed Blue Jays | 62c | 5,598$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 38c | 4,485$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.89 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 12c | 3,123$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.37 | 6,309 | 48.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc567…04bfbacked Athletics | 10c | 2,890$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Athletics | 40c | 2,742$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.93 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays | 60c | 2,633$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.2 | 1,359 | 50.8%690 W · 669 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Athletics | 40c | 2,623$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.19 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 2,442$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.13 | 995 | 49.9%497 W · 498 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed Blue Jays | 62c | 2,200$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Athletics | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Blue Jays | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Athletics | 41c | 1,836$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.93 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics | 4c | 1,799$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Athletics | 1c | 1,796$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 2c | 1,747$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 40c | 1,190$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.7 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 1,068$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Athletics | 4c | 1,026$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 59c | 1,007$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.12 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ec…df7bbacked Athletics | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 38c | 999.93$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.97 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 735.33$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.33 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Athletics | 41c | 721.07$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.64 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…df4cbacked Athletics | 38c | 699.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Athletics | 2c | 699.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…cadfbacked Athletics | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Athletics | 39c | 550.78$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Athletics | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 18c | 486.19$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…4d3ebacked Athletics | 38c | 480$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 476.86$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.18 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 40c | 452$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Athletics | 15c | 426.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 67c | 409.27$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Blue Jays | 62c | 387.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.1 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 341.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.81 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Blue Jays | 62c | 323.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Blue Jays | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Athletics | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 69c | 292$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 40c | 250.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5098…48debacked Blue Jays | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 40c | 247.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Blue Jays | 68c | 246$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Blue Jays | 59c | 239.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Athletics | 30c | 169.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Blue Jays | 62c | 162.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…8a1fbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Blue Jays | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb50…b78bbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 157.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 40c | 135.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Blue Jays | 60c | 131.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Blue Jays | 61c | 131.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Athletics | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…8d4bbacked Athletics | 24c | 102.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Blue Jays | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Athletics | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Athletics | 42c | 99.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 1,091 | 46.3%505 W · 586 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Blue Jays | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +5.8wins | +0.36per pick | 45cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Athletics | 39c | 97.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…0797backed Athletics | 22c | 93.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 91.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Athletics | 42c | 89.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 60c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 2,058 | 53.8%1,107 W · 951 L | +33.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blue Jays | 60c | 87.66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 1,415 | 48.9%692 W · 723 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 59c | 82.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…e098backed Athletics | 41c | 82.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…6afdbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 81.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4321…d35bbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 78.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6065…6d3ebacked Blue Jays | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Athletics | 37c | 68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Athletics | 46c | 66.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 17c | 66.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Blue Jays | 79c | 65.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Blue Jays | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 389 | 51.2%199 W · 190 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Blue Jays | 58c | 62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 632 | 52.7%333 W · 299 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.