CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: paiN vs. Lynn Vision
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc155705657b5dd0679c89e29c62c05ef545ac219360f29938e5ef8d1759fadc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof paiN, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7600…4478backed Lynn Vision | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked paiN | 62c | 4,050$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed paiN | 71c | 2,921$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.55 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd59…f348backed Lynn Vision | 41c | 2,763$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.99 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 2,689$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.93 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked paiN | 65c | 1,823$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.46 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lynn Vision | 38c | 1,715$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.51 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked paiN | 65c | 1,531$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.09 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked paiN | 59c | 1,525$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.35 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed paiN | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked paiN | 66c | 1,420$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.31 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Lynn Vision | 38c | 1,030$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.22 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Lynn Vision | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Lynn Vision | 42c | 764.29$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c56…8474backed Lynn Vision | 17c | 742.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Lynn Vision | 44c | 454$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Lynn Vision | 33c | 354.15$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.63 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed paiN | 60c | 318.86$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed paiN | 60c | 260$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.2 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lynn Vision | 12c | 203$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…4513backed paiN | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Lynn Vision | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed paiN | 59c | 175.29$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked paiN | 64c | 155.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Lynn Vision | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Lynn Vision | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked paiN | 59c | 88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 74.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…6139backed Lynn Vision | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked paiN | 64c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed paiN | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked paiN | 60c | 33.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked paiN | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked paiN | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed Lynn Vision | 35c | 30.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.