NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a46a4b0f19989b8c173562e090e212903e5305327acba371abc1b987758035d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $165,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b58…f374backed Flames | 46c | 78,388$36,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,058.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28b…2873backed Stars | 54c | 78,300$42,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,018 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Stars | 57c | 30,673$17,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,036.05 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Flames | 43c | 8,300$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,562 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Flames | 43c | 7,500$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Flames | 42c | 7,018$2,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,947.31 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Stars | 55c | 6,870$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.34 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Flames | 43c | 6,107$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.51 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Stars | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 26c | 4,888$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.79 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Flames | 43c | 3,644$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.93 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Flames | 44c | 3,066$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.56 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Flames | 43c | 3,065$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.78 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…da40backed Flames | 46c | 2,080$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Stars | 55c | 2,010$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Stars | 54c | 2,003$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc123…50afbacked Flames | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Flames | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Stars | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Stars | 56c | 1,800$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.96 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Flames | 3c | 1,776$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Stars | 54c | 1,771$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.53 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 44c | 1,401$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.28 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Flames | 23c | 1,277$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 30c | 1,177$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.89 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Flames | 44c | 1,125$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars | 73c | 914.94$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.94 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 28c | 912.76$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.64 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars | 73c | 686.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.7 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 41c | 663.66$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.1 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 56c | 652.26$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.04 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Stars | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flames | 43c | 444$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Stars | 55c | 390$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 42c | 389.76$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.7 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flames | 43c | 344$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.87 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Stars | 58c | 343.35$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Stars | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Stars | 58c | 332.91$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.82 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Flames | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flames | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Flames | 43c | 286$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Flames | 44c | 243.57$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Flames | 44c | 218.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Flames | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Stars | 72c | 215.28$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Stars | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…3438backed Stars | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Flames | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…d0d5backed Stars | 59c | 197.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…7d89backed Flames | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Flames | 31c | 171.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Stars | 58c | 162.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe225…0644backed Flames | 47c | 136.87$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…8fd7backed Flames | 46c | 134.63$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Stars | 71c | 128.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…1f6fbacked Flames | 46c | 128.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa6…f1febacked Flames | 46c | 119.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Flames | 43c | 115$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf66…f7b5backed Stars | 55c | 111.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Flames | 43c | 111$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a7…b4dfbacked Flames | 46c | 106.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7f…5866backed Stars | 55c | 105.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ea…92b7backed Flames | 46c | 104.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Stars | 56c | 101.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acf…cd97backed Stars | 55c | 101.18$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Stars | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Stars | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Flames | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…a53bbacked Flames | 46c | 93.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…33d8backed Stars | 54c | 91.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…3463backed Stars | 55c | 91.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Flames | 15c | 90.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e3…b8bfbacked Flames | 46c | 90.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd963…7e33backed Stars | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…a473backed Flames | 46c | 89.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…6ac8backed Stars | 55c | 88.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…99aabacked Stars | 55c | 88.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…8b6dbacked Stars | 55c | 84.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…7205backed Flames | 46c | 84.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad16…e610backed Stars | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…114bbacked Stars | 55c | 77.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Flames | 44c | 75.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb75c…6d32backed Stars | 55c | 75.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7c…eae8backed Stars | 55c | 75.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Stars | 56c | 73.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Stars | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…8e2bbacked Stars | 55c | 66.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…42c1backed Stars | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Stars | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked Flames | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a23…bcc4backed Stars | 55c | 47.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Stars | 60c | 45.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1008…db23backed Flames | 42c | 44.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Stars | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…1ae8backed Flames | 42c | 44.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.