CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: FURIA vs. B8
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01a692ccef2963e374eb21df101805865ceff005b35ad04d6d3d61fb4cd7e12d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked FURIA | 57c | 8,791$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.75 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked B8 | 43c | 4,311$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.84 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed B8 | 48c | 3,681$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.36 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed FURIA | 67c | 3,564$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.15 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked FURIA | 37c | 2,705$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.24 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed B8 | 46c | 2,584$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.68 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked B8 | 45c | 2,003$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.25 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked B8 | 52c | 1,526$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.6 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked B8 | 43c | 1,492$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.73 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked FURIA | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.11 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed FURIA | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked B8 | 44c | 776.55$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.1 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed B8 | 11c | 513.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed FURIA | 39c | 414$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.65 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked B8 | 49c | 408.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed FURIA | 40c | 334.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.28 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked B8 | 43c | 273.1$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.43 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed B8 | 43c | 261$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked B8 | 43c | 256$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked B8 | 48c | 247.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed FURIA | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed B8 | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed B8 | 59c | 147.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee2…6473backed B8 | 50c | 147.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked B8 | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed FURIA | 39c | 128.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked B8 | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed B8 | 43c | 82.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed B8 | 57c | 75.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked FURIA | 58c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed B8 | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed B8 | 65c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked FURIA | 48c | 41.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked B8 | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed B8 | 42c | 33.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed B8 | 53c | 32.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked B8 | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA | 48c | 26.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked FURIA | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.