Fifa International · resolved market
Will Denmark beat Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf52483e757bb2ff1c101f1af7ccf837fa058468876eb98e6cd8985b2458dbb35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 73c | 1,823$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.73 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 68c | 1,780$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 21c | 1,467$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…0042backed Yes | 32c | 960.81$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 32c | 495.81$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 30c | 493.61$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Yes | 27c | 249.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 8c | 222$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…1b79backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked Yes | 29c | 135$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed No | 71c | 135$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…fc1fbacked No | 73c | 121.91$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 71c | 111.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 67c | 106.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…a01bbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…a3fabacked No | 73c | 90.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…8728backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 19c | 52.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Denmark beat Switzerland?this page
- Will Switzerland beat Denmark?No won
- Will the match between Switzerland and Denmark end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.