Fifa International · resolved market
Will Switzerland beat Denmark?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe897167463555127064c68fa78c5d7eacc7ed5ffc3c6da50e3d6dac23a70fea4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 41c | 1,978$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.98 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 56c | 1,750$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,135$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 59c | 940.68$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.68 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 41c | 616.79$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.54 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…9e52backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 8c | 496.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35cd…160fbacked No | 59c | 334.92$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 46c | 327.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 44c | 247.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3330…29debacked No | 62c | 212$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7df…3bccbacked No | 59c | 183.08$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 59c | 140.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…a3fabacked Yes | 44c | 134.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…b8f5backed Yes | 42c | 122.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…2677backed Yes | 38c | 112$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfeb…96f6backed Yes | 42c | 107.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…1926backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4721…4389backed Yes | 42c | 92.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…96dcbacked Yes | 45c | 82.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39c…2bbbbacked Yes | 42c | 80.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…2eccbacked Yes | 42c | 74.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd66…21bfbacked No | 61c | 61.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 52c | 56.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…d452backed Yes | 45c | 48.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…e256backed No | 60c | 46.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…0633backed Yes | 45c | 33.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…0c16backed No | 59c | 20.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland beat Denmark?this page
- Will Denmark beat Switzerland?No won
- Will the match between Switzerland and Denmark end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.