Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20de8b8927b8fe155f588e00c93dd6fab87c75543ad37b9f6b1a727b0dbc5c63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 63c | 3,361$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.5 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 19c | 3,279$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.93 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 39c | 2,334$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.72 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 37c | 1,485$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.59 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 21c | 1,417$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.59 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 63c | 1,336$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.18 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…e426backed No | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 36c | 449.67$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Yes | 61c | 428.01$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.93 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Yes | 57c | 355.61$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 38c | 303.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked No | 70c | 285.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 57c | 283.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…e4a7backed Yes | 30c | 269.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 60c | 200.76$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd09…4198backed Yes | 64c | 156.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +150%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…34dabacked Yes | 66c | 154.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…1823backed Yes | 66c | 154.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61b…4049backed Yes | 77c | 138.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 62c | 137.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…4926backed No | 39c | 126$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 35c | 120.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…960abacked Yes | 72c | 117.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 19c | 95.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…761fbacked Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3291…07a3backed No | 38c | 89.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…cad0backed Yes | 68c | 87.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…30c4backed Yes | 80c | 86.12$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…605bbacked Yes | 64c | 84.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…9908backed Yes | 62c | 79.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…fa37backed Yes | 64c | 59.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1490…cb21backed No | 39c | 55.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 38c | 54.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…a608backed No | 40c | 51.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 40c | 50.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…04e1backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…1b45backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…85d0backed Yes | 60c | 48.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 45.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…9c9fbacked No | 39c | 43.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e11…5574backed Yes | 62c | 40.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0f…55afbacked No | 38c | 40.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2faa…f758backed Yes | 63c | 39.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b85…a96cbacked Yes | 64c | 39.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…d21bbacked No | 37c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76e6…c56cbacked No | 40c | 38.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1239…0340backed Yes | 62c | 38.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…6725backed No | 38c | 38.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…d3d5backed Yes | 63c | 37.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ff…b55cbacked No | 37c | 37.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd166…1850backed No | 38c | 36.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…b6bcbacked Yes | 64c | 36.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bda…01a2backed Yes | 61c | 36.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b2…967fbacked Yes | 63c | 35.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…1c90backed No | 37c | 35.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…c21fbacked Yes | 62c | 35.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…35edbacked No | 38c | 35.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd0…823cbacked Yes | 62c | 35.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…de35backed No | 38c | 35.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…cb92backed Yes | 63c | 35.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…5cbcbacked Yes | 61c | 34.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…bc23backed Yes | 61c | 34.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c7…b64abacked Yes | 62c | 34.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d3…f754backed No | 38c | 34.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…92d2backed Yes | 61c | 34.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a5…f3d2backed No | 37c | 34.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…f663backed Yes | 62c | 34.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…5bfebacked No | 38c | 34.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f74…4caabacked Yes | 62c | 33.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +135%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…febebacked Yes | 63c | 33.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…0b52backed No | 38c | 33.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49af…688ebacked Yes | 63c | 33.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…6ec6backed No | 37c | 33.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…be82backed No | 38c | 33.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…71a0backed Yes | 62c | 33.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…a372backed Yes | 64c | 32.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c1…1d90backed No | 36c | 32.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0003…e34fbacked Yes | 62c | 32.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8d…e2bcbacked No | 38c | 32.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ed…89f4backed No | 37c | 31.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…4facbacked Yes | 62c | 31.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…a053backed Yes | 61c | 31.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ce…8ddcbacked Yes | 61c | 31.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…421dbacked No | 37c | 31.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab0…a542backed Yes | 62c | 31.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…68d6backed No | 38c | 31.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-29?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Southampton end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton win on 2024-12-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.