World Politics · resolved market
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x178e0828e81556f971edb8c7ec556e9281640477c65c56f0e6f44a6ba9ff9156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $416,385
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,385 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 10c | 38,585$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.63 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf056…87a8backed Yes | 9c | 14,697$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…5ccebacked Yes | 15c | 11,704$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 8c | 11,405$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.21 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 7c | 10,469$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.14 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d15…c1c2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 9c | 10,000$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 7c | 8,741$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.86 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ace…24e2backed Yes | 16c | 7,288$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 13c | 6,930$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.25 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 9c | 6,666$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.84 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Yes | 11c | 6,500$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.24 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 12c | 6,396$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 9c | 6,256$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.04 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed Yes | 14c | 6,000$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.56 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 15c | 5,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.27 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 9c | 4,979$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…fc5cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,509$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 14c | 4,293$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.56 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +187.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 6c | 3,951$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.27 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 8c | 3,925$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.24 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…3e4cbacked Yes | 13c | 3,530$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.02 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 9c | 3,126$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 2,851$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.02 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Yes | 16c | 2,828$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…355bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,740$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…a2b1backed Yes | 14c | 2,590$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,497$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.62 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…f295backed Yes | 15c | 2,454$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…e330backed Yes | 9c | 2,442$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.68 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,078$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…38edbacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 5c | 1,917$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 12c | 1,767$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.02 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 8c | 1,694$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…907ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,550$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 6c | 1,485$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 5c | 1,475$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,282$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 8c | 1,235$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ca…04c5backed Yes | 13c | 1,200$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.2 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 14c | 1,170$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.98 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 10c | 1,151$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 8c | 1,090$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.32 | 125 | 6.4%8 W · 117 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked Yes | 15c | 1,009$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Yes | 9c | 985.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…64ddbacked Yes | 7c | 899.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 14c | 700.84$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.26 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe28…e921backed Yes | 14c | 624.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bd…6577backed Yes | 14c | 619$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 8c | 600$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 9c | 600$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 9c | 574.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 105 | 20%21 W · 84 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…a23ebacked Yes | 11c | 509.14$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…77e6backed Yes | 6c | 500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 7c | 468.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d6fabacked Yes | 5c | 459.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 26c | 445.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed Yes | 10c | 444$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -60%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 10c | 433.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.97 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…23ffbacked Yes | 5c | 417.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…c8a5backed Yes | 5c | 416.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 15c | 387$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 13c | 348.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Yes | 6c | 333.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6065…6d3ebacked Yes | 11c | 327.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 13c | 315$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…aee4backed Yes | 15c | 291.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…7038backed Yes | 14c | 283$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 10c | 281.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 8c | 253.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 5c | 238.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1757…4a8dbacked Yes | 9c | 234.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Yes | 7c | 220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 217.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb0…7b25backed Yes | 10c | 198.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821f…c3ffbacked Yes | 15c | 166.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…c011backed Yes | 8c | 139$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8237…fddfbacked Yes | 8c | 138$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dfd0backed Yes | 9c | 131.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…b167backed Yes | 9c | 131$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 10c | 127.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…2172backed Yes | 14c | 126$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a30…e7e4backed Yes | 14c | 81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb613…d85abacked Yes | 14c | 78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0252…29c6backed Yes | 17c | 78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…aab0backed Yes | 17c | 77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…d862backed Yes | 16c | 76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…76c8backed Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…7379backed Yes | 14c | 75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac87…f428backed Yes | 14c | 74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1165…9b36backed Yes | 15c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…7762backed Yes | 15c | 69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?this page
- Will another party win the Canadian election?No won
- Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?No won
- Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?No won
- Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%?No won
- Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?No won
- Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?No won
- Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?Yes won
- Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?No won
- Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%?No won
- Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.