Lol · resolved market
LoL: Francesinhas vs Bubliki (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe49720c70603c5e5a88e8d867d0943f471a7ca54e21d6f82d1dabdbfb2c95114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikiof Francesinhas, Bubliki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf87…2974backed Francesinhas | 0c | 10,340$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…96c6backed Bubliki | 61c | 5,078$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.33 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…71a5backed Francesinhas | 53c | 1,336$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d14…36fdbacked Francesinhas | 12c | 1,185$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Francesinhas | 46c | 1,005$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.3 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bubliki | 77c | 699.19$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Francesinhas | 33c | 608.35$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.92 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Francesinhas | 6c | 503.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Francesinhas | 25c | 429.75$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Bubliki | 46c | 428.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.61 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Francesinhas | 28c | 403.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Francesinhas | 10c | 398.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 354 | 35.3%125 W · 229 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…58f2backed Francesinhas | 9c | 338.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +9.0wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Francesinhas | 9c | 294.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Francesinhas | 5c | 258.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Bubliki | 44c | 231.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +23.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x613a…2185backed Bubliki | 75c | 228$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 129 | 35.7%46 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…d360backed Bubliki | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 167 | 47.3%79 W · 88 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Bubliki | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Francesinhas | 24c | 177.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Francesinhas | 34c | 145.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Bubliki | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 196 | 37.8%74 W · 122 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Francesinhas | 23c | 132.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bubliki | 77c | 108$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5405backed Bubliki | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Francesinhas | 21c | 99.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Francesinhas | 59c | 87.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bubliki | 72c | 81.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Bubliki | 49c | 81.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Francesinhas | 18c | 76.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Bubliki | 48c | 75.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Francesinhas | 25c | 74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bubliki | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Bubliki | 71c | 73.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Francesinhas | 43c | 66.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bubliki | 71c | 60.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 858 | 49.5%425 W · 433 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Francesinhas | 44c | 59.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked Bubliki | 74c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…cf69backed Bubliki | 74c | 52.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Bubliki | 32c | 49.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Francesinhas | 46c | 49.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 344 | 48.3%166 W · 178 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Bubliki | 37c | 43.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Francesinhas | 39c | 43.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…8caabacked Bubliki | 38c | 38.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Francesinhas | 28c | 38.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 243 | 56.4%137 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Francesinhas | 31c | 37.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Bubliki | 38c | 31.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Francesinhas | 42c | 23.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Bubliki | 52c | 20.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Bubliki | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed Bubliki | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Bubliki | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Bubliki | 70c | 19.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Bubliki | 75c | 15.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.