TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs LUA Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
⁠Movistar KOI Fénixof ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix, LUA Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,582 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a9a…72e7backed LUA Gaming14c3,126$426 inLost-$426.1123946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LUA Gaming5c1,248$68 inLost-$67.612,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked LUA Gaming13c794.5$103 inLost-$103.2966942.9%287 W · 382 L-30.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked LUA Gaming12c769.39$93 inLost-$92.591,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed LUA Gaming3c666.66$20 inLost-$2056610.4%59 W · 507 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed LUA Gaming8c500$40 inLost-$4094237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed LUA Gaming7c299.99$20 inLost-$2018931.7%60 W · 129 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed LUA Gaming11c290$32 inLost-$32.453338.6%206 W · 327 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed LUA Gaming14c200$28 inLost-$2853829.4%158 W · 380 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked LUA Gaming13c163.14$21 inLost-$21.2137343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked LUA Gaming11c150.5$17 inLost-$17.234450%22 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed LUA Gaming15c149.99$22 inLost-$22.594644.6%422 W · 524 L-2.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed LUA Gaming20c146.6$30 inLost-$3031321.1%66 W · 247 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed LUA Gaming13c146.46$19 inLost-$19.0434340.5%139 W · 204 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LUA Gaming13c130.11$17 inLost-$16.891,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed LUA Gaming11c117.44$12 inLost-$12.4852543.8%230 W · 295 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed LUA Gaming13c105$14 inLost-$13.6576129%221 W · 540 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c0…8e1bbacked LUA Gaming14c100$14 inLost-$141435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed LUA Gaming13c96.15$12 inLost-$12.517847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked LUA Gaming20c75$15 inLost-$1547434.8%165 W · 309 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked LUA Gaming16c67.5$11 inLost-$10.81,08239.5%427 W · 655 L-78.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.