Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c9d42579ccca0dbdc276e2c56107bf265f0c17592b8b0d0fcf3f2ef81ef5571
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOI Fénixof Movistar KOI Fénix, LUA Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked LUA Gaming | 16c | 6,540$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.33 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LUA Gaming | 18c | 2,934$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.04 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed LUA Gaming | 18c | 2,250$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.98 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked LUA Gaming | 17c | 2,224$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.14 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LUA Gaming | 18c | 1,744$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.94 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed LUA Gaming | 16c | 1,020$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.19 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed LUA Gaming | 17c | 505.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed LUA Gaming | 15c | 326.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked LUA Gaming | 15c | 319.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked LUA Gaming | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed LUA Gaming | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed LUA Gaming | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked LUA Gaming | 22c | 239$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked LUA Gaming | 18c | 223$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked LUA Gaming | 18c | 201.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed LUA Gaming | 20c | 194.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 59c | 173.93$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba1…3820backed LUA Gaming | 41c | 172.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…52bfbacked LUA Gaming | 25c | 170.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked LUA Gaming | 17c | 170.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LUA Gaming | 20c | 127.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…6ffabacked LUA Gaming | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed LUA Gaming | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked LUA Gaming | 17c | 67.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 75c | 44.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed LUA Gaming | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs LUA Gaming - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
- LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs LUA Gaming - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI Fénix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.