TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
⁠Movistar KOI Fénixof ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix, LUA Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,869

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,432 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3a9a…72e7backed LUA Gaming5c10,601$529 inLost-$529.2523946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed LUA Gaming10c1,318$138 inLost-$1381,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed LUA Gaming8c1,145$92 inLost-$91.7638439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked LUA Gaming10c1,061$105 inLost-$105.154934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed LUA Gaming9c887.21$79 inLost-$79.221,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf6f…9f0abacked LUA Gaming6c799.99$48 inLost-$485147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0b9…543ebacked LUA Gaming7c571.43$40 inLost-$40128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick32cpaid-83.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed LUA Gaming8c560.22$47 inLost-$47.312,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked LUA Gaming6c510$30 inLost-$29.5938931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked LUA Gaming7c499.99$35 inLost-$3596048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed LUA Gaming6c499.98$30 inLost-$301,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed LUA Gaming8c375.63$30 inLost-$3030621.2%65 W · 241 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed LUA Gaming7c360.85$23 inLost-$23.4612539.2%49 W · 76 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed LUA Gaming6c287.01$17 inLost-$17.2452438.9%204 W · 320 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed LUA Gaming5c230$11 inLost-$11.2329038.6%112 W · 178 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2f…8a03backed LUA Gaming9c222.22$20 inLost-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked LUA Gaming9c214.98$20 inLost-$20.225240.1%101 W · 151 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c22…0960backed LUA Gaming9c214.25$20 inLost-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed LUA Gaming8c202.01$16 inLost-$16.166434.4%22 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed LUA Gaming6c200.73$12 inLost-$12.0476028.9%220 W · 540 L-0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed LUA Gaming9c188.48$18 inLost-$17.753932.5%175 W · 364 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f8…6b50backed LUA Gaming10c181.39$18 inLost-$18.1412931.8%41 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix77c162.22$125 inWon+$37.734849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked LUA Gaming23c160$38 inLost-$37.51,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed LUA Gaming8c155.82$13 inLost-$13.1134448.3%166 W · 178 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fe…74babacked LUA Gaming9c155.56$14 inLost-$146060%36 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked LUA Gaming7c143$10 inLost-$10.0145444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked LUA Gaming10c134.56$13 inLost-$13.371,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9702…ca89backed LUA Gaming8c131.35$11 inLost-$1160%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27a4…d44cbacked LUA Gaming8c125$10 inLost-$102433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.