Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92192d9964dd6e6ec7cb15e515ca6c832273c931ec155bab3ba88aa2e1e70f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 31c | 2,429$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.47 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 68c | 1,042$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.91 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 30c | 719.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.15 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 65c | 622.11$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.87 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked No | 28c | 370.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 66c | 346.6$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.2 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 69c | 288.39$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 69c | 214$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 199$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 64c | 194.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.46 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked No | 10c | 171.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 563 | 22.9%129 W · 434 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…957bbacked Yes | 48c | 166.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 370 | 56.5%209 W · 161 L | +31.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 68c | 165.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.87 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 40c | 152.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 27c | 151.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 69c | 145.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed Yes | 79c | 136.75$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 28c | 130$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 61c | 125$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 70c | 113$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 62c | 111.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e2…06f4backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 16c | 99.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 92.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 69c | 91.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 41c | 89.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5548…9cc6backed Yes | 45c | 88.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 50c | 86.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 85.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 51c | 80.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked No | 60c | 78.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -58%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 45c | 73.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 29c | 71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 69.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 63.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…7bf9backed No | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 546 | 56.4%308 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…ceb2backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 136 | 37.5%51 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 45c | 55.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 26c | 53.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 39c | 51.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038c…b4e0backed Yes | 55c | 50.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 34c | 48.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 71c | 44.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 61c | 42.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 44c | 41.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 68c | 40.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…a722backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb814…dd31backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…ea22backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…b027backed Yes | 42c | 38.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…5f3bbacked Yes | 34c | 37.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 68c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked Yes | 77c | 34.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 61c | 34.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 65c | 33.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 710 | 57.9%411 W · 299 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 65c | 30.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…ec8abacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 156 | 30.8%48 W · 108 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed Yes | 74c | 29.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…e5d4backed No | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…9c56backed Yes | 55c | 28.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 65c | 27.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 65c | 25.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 69c | 23.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 61c | 22.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 50c | 22.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 65c | 21.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…3cc0backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…82ecbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 297 | 69.4%206 W · 91 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed No | 68c | 19.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed No | 71c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 65c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…57f6backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 277 | 69%191 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc9…6dfdbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 205 | 74.6%153 W · 52 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.