Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa17031f48bd7b1dd63009adb71c9e09dc46f0452affa57c5cf2112f3ab704242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zeu5 Esportsof Zeu5 Esports, SDM Tigres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Zeu5 Esports | 65c | 3,322$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.26 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed SDM Tigres | 34c | 960.94$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SDM Tigres | 36c | 822.78$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Zeu5 Esports | 64c | 808.26$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.68 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed SDM Tigres | 35c | 684.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.75 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked SDM Tigres | 33c | 660.92$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked SDM Tigres | 36c | 570.14$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed SDM Tigres | 36c | 513.89$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 354 | 43.2%153 W · 201 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Zeu5 Esports | 65c | 361.57$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Zeu5 Esports | 65c | 199.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Zeu5 Esports | 70c | 141$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed SDM Tigres | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked SDM Tigres | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked SDM Tigres | 36c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed SDM Tigres | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zeu5 Esports | 66c | 65.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed SDM Tigres | 34c | 53.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed SDM Tigres | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked SDM Tigres | 30c | 44.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…158abacked SDM Tigres | 36c | 41.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Zeu5 Esports | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed SDM Tigres | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked SDM Tigres | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed SDM Tigres | 29c | 35.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked SDM Tigres | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Zeu5 Esports | 65c | 28.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Zeu5 Esports | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Zeu5 Esports | 60c | 19.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: Z5 (-1.5) vs SDM Tigres (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonZeu5 Esports won
- LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 1 WinnerZeu5 Esports won
- LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 2 WinnerZeu5 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.