CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601012d8b0c2ad23d6948b3bbcd00c4c4763fd9f65fe240fa6f64d54bf1b89d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof Marsborne, regain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked regain | 24c | 15,020$3,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,655.01 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Marsborne | 76c | 11,759$8,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,822.11 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marsborne | 76c | 10,739$8,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.84 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked regain | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.99 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed regain | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed regain | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Marsborne | 75c | 1,311$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.18 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Marsborne | 75c | 1,147$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.73 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Marsborne | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Marsborne | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Marsborne | 75c | 947$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.75 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Marsborne | 76c | 933.16$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.96 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Marsborne | 76c | 922.44$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.63 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Marsborne | 75c | 879.46$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Marsborne | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4a83backed regain | 19c | 755.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed regain | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed regain | 24c | 600.78$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.18 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed regain | 8c | 549.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Marsborne | 79c | 523.15$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked regain | 14c | 512.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed regain | 4c | 510$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked regain | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…8beabacked Marsborne | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed regain | 24c | 499.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Marsborne | 77c | 446.67$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.67 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed regain | 25c | 436.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Marsborne | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…9b05backed Marsborne | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed regain | 25c | 378.48$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed regain | 24c | 371.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked regain | 21c | 328.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked regain | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed regain | 22c | 265.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.33 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Marsborne | 79c | 264.08$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed regain | 25c | 258.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked regain | 10c | 252.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Marsborne | 76c | 231.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…7d13backed regain | 25c | 210$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked regain | 24c | 210$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked regain | 25c | 195.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked regain | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…8380backed regain | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed regain | 23c | 180.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Marsborne | 74c | 174.85$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed regain | 11c | 170.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked regain | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Marsborne | 75c | 133.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed regain | 25c | 133.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Marsborne | 74c | 124.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…32f1backed regain | 26c | 123.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed regain | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked regain | 22c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Marsborne | 74c | 118.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked regain | 12c | 117.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked regain | 22c | 116.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 242 | 55.8%135 W · 107 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…d837backed regain | 26c | 110.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6279…2627backed regain | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…9c7bbacked Marsborne | 78c | 101.13$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed regain | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…7c42backed regain | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Marsborne | 74c | 99.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked regain | 26c | 95.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked regain | 25c | 79.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed regain | 22c | 76.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked regain | 24c | 65.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…41b2backed regain | 18c | 63.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked regain | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Marsborne | 75c | 59.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed regain | 26c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…82febacked regain | 25c | 58.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed regain | 26c | 58.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Marsborne | 74c | 51.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe573…ae05backed regain | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Marsborne | 75c | 44.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed regain | 25c | 43.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…6cbabacked regain | 25c | 40.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed regain | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9226…f00ebacked regain | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Marsborne | 75c | 39.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Marsborne | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked Marsborne | 75c | 38.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Marsborne | 78c | 38.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Marsborne | 77c | 37.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Marsborne | 75c | 31.91$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Marsborne | 76c | 25.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Marsborne | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Marsborne | 75c | 21.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Marsborne | 74c | 20.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…13e3backed Marsborne | 75c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Marsborne | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 173 | 60.1%104 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…d118backed Marsborne | 75c | 15.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 44 | 86.4%38 W · 6 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed Marsborne | 75c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Marsborne | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.91 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain - Map 2 WinnerMarsborne won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5)Marsborne won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5)Marsborne won
- Map Handicap: MARS (-1.5) vs regain (+1.5)Marsborne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.