CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd2e69d7fc67492a8d81a9c2c845263c3d3e9f337f0c92ccec6809b06fee61b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 63c | 3,553$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.48 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Over | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 65c | 938.59$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.56 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 35c | 894.01$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.9 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 64c | 653.72$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.17 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Over | 35c | 625.68$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Over | 37c | 474.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 36c | 360$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 65c | 320.97$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 36c | 314.42$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 36c | 287.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.85 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 36c | 118.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Over | 36c | 83.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 404 | 39.6%160 W · 244 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Over | 38c | 59.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 64c | 51.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.71 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Under | 63c | 47.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 835 | 56.2%469 W · 366 L | +31.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 65c | 47.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Under | 63c | 40.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 232 | 65.1%151 W · 81 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 34c | 36.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs regain - Map 2 WinnerMarsborne won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5)Marsborne won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Marsborne (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5)Marsborne won
- Map Handicap: MARS (-1.5) vs regain (+1.5)Marsborne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.