Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b37e5b9d32d5d0a002677b5fc6a5777aa0796618f5d8c41d2d6feca09c07b6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 49c | 2,959$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.9 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 41c | 1,473$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.47 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4d…bb01backed No | 48c | 1,047$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 218 | 29.4%64 W · 154 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 43c | 725.28$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.9 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…b975backed Yes | 54c | 699.98$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 63c | 589.54$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.02 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 47c | 496.78$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.34 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 58c | 479$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.41 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…3797backed Yes | 48c | 304.42$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.19 | 34 | 97.1%33 W · 1 L | +17.6wins | +0.52per pick | 45cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 83+0.30 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 57c | 302.71$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 46c | 300.04$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.43 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 51c | 291.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.05 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 36c | 241.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 52c | 229.57$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.02 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 217.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 60c | 214$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.4 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 46c | 182$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 46c | 172$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 160.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…8b5ebacked Yes | 36c | 156$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 18c | 148.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked No | 8c | 143$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 54c | 137$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 8c | 134.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 47c | 126.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 59c | 116.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 62c | 114.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 14c | 106.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.92 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…9275backed No | 47c | 105.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 385 | 60.3%232 W · 153 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 59c | 104.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…3963backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…395bbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 336 | 28.9%97 W · 239 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8792backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 40c | 97.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…29f0backed No | 45c | 91.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Yes | 42c | 89.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 54c | 89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed No | 48c | 85.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 48c | 75.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…f41fbacked Yes | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 75c | 69.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 47c | 68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 53c | 66.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfa…dc55backed Yes | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 47c | 63.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 50c | 62.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 43c | 58.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 58c | 57.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed No | 21c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 31c | 54.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…3ff6backed No | 48c | 52.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 55c | 51.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 429 | 48%206 W · 223 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 49c | 48.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed Yes | 52c | 47.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 50c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…86ddbacked No | 48c | 45.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 257 | 58%149 W · 108 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 49c | 41.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 58c | 39.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 47c | 39.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed No | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 53c | 37.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 581 | 38.9%226 W · 355 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 52c | 35.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 47c | 34.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 31.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 847 | 59.4%503 W · 344 L | +41.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 75c | 29.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 45c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 50c | 28.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 47c | 27.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…e09dbacked Yes | 45c | 26.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,010 | 58.1%587 W · 423 L | -34.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 49c | 23.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 78c | 22.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 76c | 22.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 417 | 52%217 W · 200 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 159 | 61.6%98 W · 61 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbd…3bedbacked No | 56c | 19.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 375 | 41.6%156 W · 219 L | -52.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…c693backed Yes | 54c | 19.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.