Asian League · resolved market
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8810ce923cf0a1e384f390ea5a7f9131cb5644a501b2d7c9d6572c0eda6fced1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc55…dd71backed No | 40c | 11,661$4,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…c9e7backed Yes | 60c | 11,659$6,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 2,584$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Yes | 25c | 2,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.5 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked Yes | 49c | 593.61$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 60c | 114.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 40c | 70.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 55c | 66.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 56.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Yes | 53c | 45.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd1…c7b6backed Yes | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…3483backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 58c | 19.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5)Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Shandong Taishan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.