Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5016f40d3929e1a7b4d6ce44aa4192866d0ed1e64dab6305bac8496f0a93fd0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fennelof QT DIG∞, Fennel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed QT DIG∞ | 39c | 9,086$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.64 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Fennel | 62c | 7,484$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.3 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked QT DIG∞ | 39c | 6,351$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.79 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…39d8backed Fennel | 60c | 2,440$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Fennel | 62c | 1,495$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.2 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Fennel | 61c | 977.58$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.25 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Fennel | 61c | 878.94$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.79 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed QT DIG∞ | 40c | 723$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Fennel | 60c | 685.15$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.48 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Fennel | 62c | 588.25$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.98 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked QT DIG∞ | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fennel | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Fennel | 60c | 290$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Fennel | 61c | 214.85$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fennel | 60c | 210$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Fennel | 62c | 200.27$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Fennel | 80c | 199.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Fennel | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Fennel | 65c | 162.69$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…6628backed Fennel | 61c | 157.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked QT DIG∞ | 21c | 151.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Fennel | 62c | 147.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Fennel | 62c | 138.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Fennel | 62c | 130.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Fennel | 62c | 130.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…e454backed Fennel | 63c | 130.55$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked QT DIG∞ | 39c | 127.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed QT DIG∞ | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked QT DIG∞ | 48c | 106.13$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…4154backed QT DIG∞ | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d58…de06backed QT DIG∞ | 47c | 98.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed QT DIG∞ | 38c | 81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed QT DIG∞ | 38c | 81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Fennel | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Fennel | 66c | 63.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…0016backed QT DIG∞ | 40c | 62.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab3…1f0abacked Fennel | 61c | 62.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed QT DIG∞ | 37c | 58.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked QT DIG∞ | 22c | 53.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed QT DIG∞ | 29c | 43.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Fennel | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Fennel | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c9…de73backed QT DIG∞ | 38c | 38.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…bf34backed Fennel | 61c | 36.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed QT DIG∞ | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked QT DIG∞ | 34c | 29.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Fennel | 61c | 28.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…487ebacked Fennel | 61c | 27.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QT DIG∞ | 55c | 23.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Fennel | 62c | 22.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…348ebacked Fennel | 60c | 16.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Fennel (BO3) - VCL Japan: Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: QT DIG∞ vs Fennel - Map 1 WinnerFennel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.