Premier League · resolved market
Hull City AFC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8efed9e9cb2a064d9351fe778b0a63c5c96e15e90167441e5045efdfac5e0642
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 47c | 3,081$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.22 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 2,077$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.51 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 1,221$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.44 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 31c | 929.03$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 57c | 700$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.78 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 46c | 346$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 41c | 299.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 224.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.77 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da4…b8a7backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 34c | 135.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 46c | 120.12$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 55c | 109.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 56c | 97.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 56c | 91.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 39c | 79.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 62c | 65.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 58c | 60.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 51.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 63c | 32.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 50c | 20.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 53c | 18.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 67c | 17.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hull City AFC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Hull City AFC vs. Norwich City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hull City AFC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Hull City AFC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-2.5)Norwich City FC won
- Spread: Norwich City FC (-1.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.