Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4612ca5173a5a4fcf85507aeb04a8592bc10dda7e82aa160ccf2a48ee08c3182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 2,278$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.91 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 50c | 1,540$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.27 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 40c | 1,230$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 53c | 1,127$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.61 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…abcebacked Over | 50c | 946.63$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 465.81$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.16 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 61c | 352.1$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.32 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 37c | 329$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.82 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Under | 61c | 275.93$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 250.62$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Over | 31c | 180.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.31 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 32c | 141$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 126.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.03 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 43c | 116.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 111.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 400 | 51%204 W · 196 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 95.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 48c | 77.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 40c | 72.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over | 54c | 65.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 52c | 57.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…d234backed Under | 58c | 42.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Under | 53c | 40.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Under | 52c | 38.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 46c | 35.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…cfcdbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 34.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 59c | 34.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 26.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…55fdbacked Over | 55c | 26.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Under | 49c | 26.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Under | 61c | 23.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 57c | 23.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 57c | 23.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 51c | 23.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Under | 60c | 18.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.