Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6edf9359ec8f3ca84b5a1d474edd4a7b574194365db9a5b0ec0756162d2c991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wuhan San Zhen FCof Qingdao Hainiu FC, Wuhan San Zhen FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda99…cec4backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 5c | 1,065$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01bb…6b44backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 4c | 971.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…3fcebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 4c | 969.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…1eadbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 968.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1d…facbbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 5c | 960$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…5517backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 950.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…41fcbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 938$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…1955backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 937$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…6a81backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 936$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064f…dad8backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 929.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…07acbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 925$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…4cccbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 905$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6cd7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 850$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…cb79backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 847$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…e103backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 815$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…5dc8backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 810$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 5cpaid | +356.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81fb…f1b0backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 785$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e87…0f4fbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 775$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…8a95backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 772$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…0cf5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 3c | 750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 18c | 269.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.