Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09142591c531b9321c5237ee59cfad2011a123a0a3bad39becc20ffa835755b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 2,046$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.71 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 245 | 23.3%57 W · 188 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,321$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.07 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 72c | 449.75$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.21 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 373.11$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.64 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 25c | 180$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Under | 78c | 141.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 51c | 111.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 29c | 99.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 72c | 76.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 32c | 51.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 71c | 51.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 407 | 50.6%206 W · 201 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 31c | 48.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6d…d234backed Under | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa063…338fbacked Under | 74c | 30.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 29.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 72c | 23.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.