Asian League · resolved market
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6d2ed5ae5c5a9f3b67c323f81a8216deee79032e11085e5848626609519c989
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 22c | 454.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 39c | 390.13$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 69c | 310.19$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.87 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 43c | 241.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Over | 76c | 137.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 78c | 127.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 39c | 113.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 78c | 89.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 89.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 29c | 79.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 78.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 66c | 76.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 22c | 73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Under | 24c | 59.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Over | 53c | 50.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 78c | 37.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d4…dcfcbacked Over | 55c | 35.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 35.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 78c | 25.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Over | 75c | 20.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…c3aabacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…7594backed Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Over | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Wuhan San Zhen FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Wuhan San Zhen FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.