CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c867d7f73740c40ea04f68a205e53ce6a4281398d21378c26e020b3a461ef98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof BIG, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 43c | 2,175$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 1,130$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.62 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed BIG | 55c | 753.68$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed BIG | 54c | 743.12$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.25 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 603.39$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.56 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 576.23$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.39 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG | 41c | 562.39$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.25 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed BIG | 33c | 495.59$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.71 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked BIG | 48c | 387.52$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Nemesis | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BIG | 45c | 292.39$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.18 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…9531backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 289.84$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Team Nemesis | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed BIG | 66c | 267.81$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.81 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked BIG | 51c | 188.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked BIG | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…f184backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 178.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed BIG | 21c | 159.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 140.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked BIG | 57c | 124.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed BIG | 32c | 122.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 110.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked BIG | 46c | 104.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed BIG | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 91.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 73.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BIG | 71c | 68.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed BIG | 36c | 60.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked BIG | 53c | 51.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Team Nemesis | 79c | 49.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…3a5dbacked BIG | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked BIG | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed BIG | 31c | 46.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed BIG | 55c | 34.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BIG | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 32.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed BIG | 48c | 30.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 21.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…db09backed BIG | 79c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.