MLB · resolved market
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35faf30c6dda3980ae85371fc025918fae61d37f5aa9c7169afc1dd012cf8017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Philadelphia Phillies, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 3,953$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.29 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 3,823$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 73c | 2,887$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.3 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 2,722$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.33 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 2,534$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.52 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 1,558$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.34 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 1,204$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.87 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 1,060$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.79 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 1,021$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 919.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 853.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 853.85$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.85 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 758.69$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.58 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 499.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 422.63$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.86 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 359.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 315.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 275.75$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 265.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 223.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 188.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 94.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Colorado Rockies | 64c | 61.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc78…f1f5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…438abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 43.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 38.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 35.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Colorado Rockies | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia PhilliesColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.