TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c833.83$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.7812,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over63c464.6$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.326,12355.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L+346.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over65c462.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.392,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under38c310.28$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6399924.6%246 W · 753 L-70.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under47c165$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5599744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over66c155.2$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.372,58861.5%1,591 W · 997 L+72.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over53c119.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.219,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over61c99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.613,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Under21c74.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5643243.1%186 W · 246 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over71c67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.721,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under27c54.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.672,54645.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L-74.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under39c52.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over74c46.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3311153.2%59 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…ff8abacked Over73c45.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.18850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over66c44.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.021,04051.8%539 W · 501 L+2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5413672.1%98 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42a…31d2backed Over73c37.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda95…34f0backed Over73c34.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.211070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c7…b0c6backed Over73c32.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.881361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2625…e320backed Over73c32.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.721668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5574…f9fbbacked Over73c32.3$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.721764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9202…18b0backed Over73c32.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.691770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x441c…17ecbacked Over73c32.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.673100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b00…64a2backed Over73c31.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.58757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9683…7009backed Over73c31.79$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.58650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf835…ec25backed Over73c31.7$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.561040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-46.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x458d…15adbacked Over73c31.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.53366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b4…bb36backed Over73c31.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc3…d59bbacked Over73c31.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6111…3b98backed Over74c31$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.151154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6384…f6f5backed Over73c30.81$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.32742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d06…7c29backed Over73c30.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b5…43f1backed Over73c30.79$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick64cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbffc…3b70backed Over73c30.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ddf…3ff6backed Over73c30.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.23757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…56d7backed Over73c30.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…4e21backed Over73c30.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a2e…60efbacked Over73c30.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8047…0a8dbacked Over73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42d…4d66backed Over73c29.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.11957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x086a…2fc0backed Over73c29.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.05560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce98…c58dbacked Over73c28.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.83450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2227…f6dcbacked Over73c28.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa2…60b9backed Over73c28.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x649a…f549backed Over73c28.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over72c28.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9866056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a9…4289backed Over73c28.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5b…59b8backed Over73c28.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.671136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick61cpaid-43.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8349…abaebacked Over73c28.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.611968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a0…85a8backed Over73c27.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.531070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a6…f5d9backed Over73c27.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.512050%10 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64dc…e416backed Over73c27.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe2…49d1backed Over73c27.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…24a8backed Over73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.291668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62f…f058backed Over73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cf…7a0bbacked Over73c26.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…b2fcbacked Over73c26.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.051560%9 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e77…09b8backed Over73c26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.02850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90bd…cc0abacked Over73c25.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.971560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b36…c11fbacked Over73c25.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.97580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x121c…b866backed Over73c25.4$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.86666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fa…bb82backed Over73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb822…93bcbacked Over73c24.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.723100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under41c24.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x702a…d666backed Over73c24.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.591145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick67cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xec81…c2f4backed Over73c23.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick69cpaid-46.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a1c…fd77backed Over73c22.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.211675%12 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e1e…02acbacked Over73c22.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-65.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d83…3ceabacked Over73c22.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.16666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x077b…11d4backed Over73c22.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.07650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b6…3bafbacked Over73c22.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.05966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c38…c255backed Over73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941266.7%8 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…90e5backed Over73c21.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.871546.7%7 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick67cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d69…bc81backed Over73c21.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b5…abc1backed Over73c21.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-51.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5276…8000backed Over74c21.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11dd…ab7cbacked Over73c21.3$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.751050%5 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…3107backed Over66c21.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1112572%90 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0ff…6544backed Over73c20.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6783…73f9backed Over73c19.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.37742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x390e…4fb7backed Over73c19.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.16560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dbf…8ed5backed Over73c18.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4d…a945backed Over73c18.6$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.021471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68f4…6045backed Over73c17.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.78540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b54…76eabacked Over73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.