Asian League · resolved market
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3fa7e59316b3bb290cbaac782fae820eb8e5bb7b9bf7b9f6bd694c59a95e592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,928 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed Over | 71c | 12,000$8,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,519.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 29c | 4,294$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.74 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 3,830$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 29c | 3,743$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,657.52 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 38c | 446.9$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.95 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092e…c685backed Over | 39c | 293.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Over | 26c | 287.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 8cpaid | +573.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 25c | 267.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 29c | 221.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 41c | 135.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 58c | 92.21$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 67.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 56.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 70c | 49.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…e01abacked Under | 29c | 45.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 65c | 36.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 29c | 36.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 61c | 35.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 60c | 33.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…3f87backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 60c | 20.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.