Asian League · resolved market
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb3d666eee45dcac4d0e6524af6b81a897c7a87abd6015f2ef8c46d75d44e8be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,629 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5c8…dd17backed Yes | 49c | 6,324$3,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…4bdfbacked Yes | 49c | 5,626$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,869.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee10…2c44backed No | 51c | 5,035$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cf…1cc3backed No | 51c | 4,953$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,526.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e19…59f3backed No | 51c | 1,962$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 355.78$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 64c | 309.7$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 53c | 193.59$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 10c | 152.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Yes | 48c | 47.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 38c | 31.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 48c | 29.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.