Australian A League · resolved market
Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f55bbf9121f59a09ff0cf273d95dae19d5a5333b3b06d07602b96a7a8d1080f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 63c | 1,436$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 1,057$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.5 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 38c | 996.4$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.8 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 60c | 986.86$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.77 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 593.59$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.84 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 40c | 487.7$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 365.1$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 251.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21b…0167backed Yes | 50c | 185$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…cc32backed Yes | 62c | 157.92$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 61c | 145.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes | 60c | 145$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 40c | 133.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 61c | 106.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 62c | 80.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 76.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Yes | 56c | 71.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 58c | 63.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…78efbacked Yes | 55c | 53.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…b5fdbacked Yes | 62c | 46.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6c2cbacked Yes | 55c | 45.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…6e1ebacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 62c | 37.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 56c | 35.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…e4f1backed Yes | 60c | 23.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Yes | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-2.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Adelaide United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.