Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe41328fb7c4713a29d01baff029e869d88b36cde7b46da85c7284b3092a93b36

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $148,280
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $144,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,280 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5d96…562dbacked Yes	6c	19,023$1,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.85	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x739a…552cbacked Yes	0c	8,766$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	52	0%0 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…c3b0backed Yes	7c	5,777$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.98	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	22cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	4,681$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.14	292	2.1%6 W · 286 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b49…213abacked Yes	7c	3,621$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	1c	3,408$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.77	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes	5c	3,353$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.56	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2956…01cfbacked Yes	6c	3,246$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.45	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	23cpaid	-80%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05a6…7c90backed Yes	16c	3,230$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7909…de2ebacked Yes	9c	2,887$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.85	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes	10c	1,907$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.66	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b59…58e6backed Yes	6c	1,838$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.36	100	1%1 W · 99 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-96.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ae…c464backed Yes	8c	1,565$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c6…927bbacked Yes	5c	1,559$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.18	167	2.4%4 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes	5c	1,520$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.84	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	29cpaid	+84.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f69…acb6backed Yes	5c	1,467$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.93	179	2.2%4 W · 175 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ca…9265backed Yes	1c	1,462$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.39	72	13.9%10 W · 62 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	2c	1,322$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.78	115	33%38 W · 77 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	1,246$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.41	678	5.9%40 W · 638 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	1c	1,200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	416	3.1%13 W · 403 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…7058backed Yes	5c	1,200$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7558…2d70backed Yes	7c	1,104$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.32	110	5.5%6 W · 104 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5564…b806backed Yes	6c	935.56$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.68	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…b217backed Yes	4c	896.84$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.46	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes	4c	773.48$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.1	258	1.2%3 W · 255 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-84%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes	6c	770.28$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.97	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	+155.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	673.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.44	281	13.2%37 W · 244 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f7…89d6backed Yes	7c	649.81$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5235…c04abacked Yes	4c	556.48$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.17	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba8…8415backed Yes	16c	553.25$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x980f…5b55backed Yes	5c	520.92$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.21	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+5.0wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd93e…cbd5backed Yes	3c	417.38$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes	6c	399.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	42	2.4%1 W · 41 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	7cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb52…b8bcbacked Yes	10c	340$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.83	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…e2c6backed Yes	7c	311.76$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.65	93	3.2%3 W · 90 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf921…be16backed Yes	12c	309.86$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.18	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	7c	172.58$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	137	3.6%5 W · 132 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba69…4629backed Yes	15c	117.01$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	17cpaid	-88.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will XRP reach $1.80 in April?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event