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Events

Events with no start time, such as a season or an election.

Which side, and how much

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No date

What these columns mean
Place
Its place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.
Settles
The date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.
Event
The event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.
Top 200 wallets
How many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
PlaceIts place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.SettlesThe date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.EventThe event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.Top 200 walletsHow many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
1US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Commodities52 wallets
2US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?Commodities17 wallets
3What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?Commodities16 wallets
4Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Commodities15 wallets
5Crude Oil all time high by...?Commodities11 wallets
6Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?Commodities10 wallets
7Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?Commodities10 wallets
8Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Commodities9 wallets
9Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Commodities7 wallets
10Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Commodities6 wallets
11Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026Commodities5 wallets
12Houthis enter Aden by...?Commodities5 wallets
13What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?Commodities5 wallets
14What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?Commodities4 wallets
15EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?Commodities4 wallets
16Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30?Commodities4 wallets
17US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?Commodities3 wallets
18Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?Commodities3 wallets
19What will gas hit by end of November?Commodities2 wallets
20What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in November 2026?Commodities2 wallets
21Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Commodities1 wallet
22EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?Commodities1 wallet
23EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?Commodities1 wallet
24How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 2?Commodities1 wallet
25Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?Commodities1 wallet
26Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?Commodities1 wallet
27IEA asks Germany to release oil stocks by...?Commodities1 wallet
28Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by...?Commodities1 wallet
About this page
Which events are listed
  • An event is listed when a wallet in the top 200 of its category holds a position on one of its markets still open. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place in the top 200 for as long as its score would still put it there.
  • The position clears the Tail feed's bars: bought above 0c and at most 80c, worth at least $10, and not held on both sides. A buy made since we last read the wallet counts too, as it does on the event breakdown.
  • Today and tomorrow are US Eastern days for every reader. An event is listed from the day it starts until its last market settles. Only sports and esports events have a start time here: an election or a price is listed with no date, whatever date Polymarket gives it.
  • Each day is in order of how many top 200 wallets hold a position on an event, one wallet one vote, then of what they hold. A score weighs nothing here.