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US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

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CommoditiesPolymarket gives this event no start time.Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Top 200 wallets

53

53 top 200 wallets hold a position on this event, 15 of them top 50

Members see every position: which wallet, which side, how much, at what price, and since when.

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US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 12 wallets, $5,739 · No: 30 wallets, $16,917 30 of 42 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Commodities when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Commodities when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0xff06…2f60#2 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$86941c+$1,23167
0xff52…4546#6 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$25050c+$25065
0xcdb1…276c#22 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$11915c+$664.0663
0x2184…00df#24 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1237c+$20.9663
0x2574…144b#30 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$11256c+$8862
0x5464…af99#32 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,06466c+$53662
0x71ab…f015#39 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$3,13146c-$3,131.1862
0xf9ac…806e#40 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$28872c+$11262
0x7fd3…e662#41 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$5207c+$6,48062
0x99f0…649f#42 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$5737c+$95.9761
0xac76…9359#47 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,59666c+$816.3561
0xe1b3…1426#63 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$54837c+$946.5760
0xdf34…dc86#66 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$29674c-$296.4360
0x22db…190f#68 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$48855c-$488.0959
0x2db7…8f9b#75 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$13358c+$97.3959
0x153b…65d8#102 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$23459c+$16659
0xd5db…3c45#117 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,25358c+$897.1358
0x06fb…9713#250 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$13065c-$13056
Top 51 to 200
0xc18e…44e3#125 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$12261c+$7858
0x9908…062c#149 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,88369c+$860.5657
0x7df6…ac3b#157 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$21311c-$213.1757
0x9dfb…e887#159 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3,93174c+$1,361.9157
0x0525…c737#164 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$2136c+$37.2657
0x727e…8b9d#172 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1678c+$4.457
0xcb69…361e#194 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$22137c+$380.9957
0x371c…c236#205 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$7811c+$651.3657
0x31f2…f75f#208 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1187c-$11857
0xb7ef…812c#209 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$505c-$49.5557
0xbbe3…5b92#224 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$16840c+$249.9856
0x4c5c…685d#236 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4868c+$22.1356
0x3ad1…b4c5#255 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1940c+$28.5856
0xcb86…feda#260 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$65772c+$253.2956
0xb2ef…90e2#284 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$13435c-$13456
0x9ad7…4084#294 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$48176c+$154.4355
0x5c6e…0617#296 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$96037c+$1,615.7655
0xd362…9684#352 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$6054c+$50.3455
0x4462…bfdf#393 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$9313c-$93.3354
0x04bf…7caf#451 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$74074c+$26054
0xa58f…cec8#470 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$45677c+$139.5954
0x6ee1…a2a8#560 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1028c-$10.3653
0x9592…a7b8#584 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1,01123c-$1,011.0653
0x758a…f23c#732 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$6432c-$6452

167 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

109 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

109 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

116 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

159 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

1,078 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

272 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

1,125 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

1,088 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

81 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

167 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

12 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

100 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

302 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? (opens in a new tab)

Settled. The result and the qualified picks come with the nightly update. Until then, this is what the top 200 wallets bought.

2 positions not shown: 2 bought above 80c

192 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

231 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

254 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

999 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

221 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.