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Events

Events with no start time, such as a season or an election.

Which side, and how much

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What these columns mean
Place
Its place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.
Settles
The date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.
Event
The event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.
Top 200 wallets
How many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
PlaceIts place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.SettlesThe date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.EventThe event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.Top 200 walletsHow many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
1US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?Commodities52 wallets
2US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?Commodities17 wallets
3What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?Commodities16 wallets
4Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Commodities15 wallets
5Crude Oil all time high by...?Commodities11 wallets
6Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?Commodities10 wallets
7Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?Commodities10 wallets
8What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?Stocks10 wallets
9Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Commodities9 wallets
10Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Commodities7 wallets
11Apple’s Market Cap end of 2026?Stocks7 wallets
12SpaceX’s Market Cap end of November 2026?Stocks7 wallets
13Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of November?Stocks6 wallets
14Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Commodities6 wallets
15Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026Commodities5 wallets
16Houthis enter Aden by...?Commodities5 wallets
17Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?Stocks5 wallets
18Alphabet’s Market Cap end of 2026?Stocks5 wallets
19Alphabet’s Market Cap end of November 2026?Stocks5 wallets
20What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in November 2026?Commodities5 wallets
21SpaceX’s Market Cap end of December 2026?Stocks5 wallets
22What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?Commodities4 wallets
23Which companies added to S&P 500 in Q4 2026?Stocks4 wallets
24EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?Commodities4 wallets
25Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by November 30?Commodities4 wallets
26What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?Stocks4 wallets
27Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?Stocks3 wallets
28Will Micron (MU) close above ___ end of November?Stocks3 wallets
29Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above ___ end of November?Stocks3 wallets
30Will Tesla (TSLA) close above ___ end of November?Stocks3 wallets
31Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of November?Stocks3 wallets
32Will Google (GOOGL) close above ___ end of November?Stocks3 wallets
33US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?Commodities3 wallets
34Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?Commodities3 wallets
35Microsoft (MSFT) closes above ___ on November 9?Stocks3 wallets
36Will Palantir (PLTR) close above ___ end of November?Stocks3 wallets
37Will Meta (META) close above ___ end of November?Stocks2 wallets
38What will gas hit by end of November?Commodities2 wallets
39Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above ___ end of November?Stocks2 wallets
40Will Netflix (NFLX) close above ___ end of November?Stocks2 wallets
411 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027?Stocks2 wallets
42Meta’s Market Cap end of November 2026?Stocks2 wallets
43Will Apple (AAPL) close above ___ end of November?Stocks2 wallets
44What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in November 2026?Commodities2 wallets
45Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026Stocks2 wallets
46Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on November 9?Stocks2 wallets
47Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Commodities1 wallet
48EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?Commodities1 wallet
49EU emergency diesel stocks end of December 2026?Commodities1 wallet
50NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Stocks1 wallet
51How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of November 2?Commodities1 wallet
52Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?Commodities1 wallet
53KOSPI all-time high before 2028?Stocks1 wallet
54Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 9 above___?Stocks1 wallet
55Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of November 9 above___?Stocks1 wallet
56NVIDIA (NVDA) closes above ___ on November 9?Stocks1 wallet
57Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?Commodities1 wallet
58IEA asks Germany to release oil stocks by...?Commodities1 wallet
59Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by...?Commodities1 wallet
About this page
Which events are listed
  • An event is listed when a wallet in the top 200 of its category holds a position on one of its markets still open. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place in the top 200 for as long as its score would still put it there.
  • The position clears the Tail feed's bars: bought above 0c and at most 80c, worth at least $10, and not held on both sides. A buy made since we last read the wallet counts too, as it does on the event breakdown.
  • Today and tomorrow are US Eastern days for every reader. An event is listed from the day it starts until its last market settles. Only sports and esports events have a start time here: an election or a price is listed with no date, whatever date Polymarket gives it.
  • Each day is in order of how many top 200 wallets hold a position on an event, one wallet one vote, then of what they hold. A score weighs nothing here.