La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00b909192551b365666b9e278a0258eba473b3cb40f2417d93b7848e6b691aea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.97 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 3,804$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.82 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,650$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.3 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 1,540$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.67 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,509$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.07 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Yes | 47c | 1,401$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.72 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Yes | 47c | 1,360$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Yes | 41c | 1,218$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 1,148$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.58 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,033$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.29 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 44c | 242$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 44c | 239.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 46c | 226.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 46c | 210.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.86 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed No | 57c | 164.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 41c | 146.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 46c | 134.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 23c | 64.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 46c | 54.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 41c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Yes | 48c | 36.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d44…2f97backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 48c | 30.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Yes | 47c | 27.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 46c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 45c | 24.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.