Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open, Qualification: Luis Guto Miguel vs Benjamin Bonzi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00fe99b6c65d14f6a5a0ed57447a8668d99a8aeaa74dccdf7bbb63b59f90e44b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Benjamin Bonziof Luis Guto Miguel, Benjamin Bonzi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,949 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Luis Guto Miguel | 4c | 17,046$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.06 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Luis Guto Miguel | 3c | 7,384$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.31 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Luis Guto Miguel | 6c | 6,200$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.64 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Luis Guto Miguel | 4c | 3,013$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 4c | 2,060$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.28 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Luis Guto Miguel | 3c | 1,634$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Luis Guto Miguel | 5c | 1,626$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luis Guto Miguel | 5c | 1,612$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Luis Guto Miguel | 4c | 1,480$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…e1adbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Luis Guto Miguel | 7c | 1,353$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Luis Guto Miguel | 1c | 1,200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 7c | 1,087$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.09 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Luis Guto Miguel | 7c | 1,004$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 484 | 40.3%195 W · 289 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Luis Guto Miguel | 6c | 717.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aec…69d9backed Luis Guto Miguel | 5c | 660.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Luis Guto Miguel | 3c | 566.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Luis Guto Miguel | 8c | 526.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Luis Guto Miguel | 6c | 522.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 8c | 412.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Luis Guto Miguel | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 5c | 319.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Luis Guto Miguel | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…ffc3backed Luis Guto Miguel | 7c | 285.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Luis Guto Miguel | 7c | 191.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…74a8backed Luis Guto Miguel | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open, Qualification: Luis Guto Miguel vs Benjamin Bonzithis page
- Luis Guto Miguel vs. Benjamin Bonzi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Miguel vs BonziBonzi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.