CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d2c1e072804254f0a05169561a0f60f0612833fff5e460a72a663ec23a6fa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruteof Brute, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Brute | 42c | 4,160$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.53 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…1262backed Atreides | 56c | 3,279$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.26 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Atreides | 57c | 1,143$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.29 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 55c | 507.39$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Brute | 40c | 414.2$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.77 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Brute | 43c | 299.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.06 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Brute | 46c | 218.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.71 | 149 | 39.6%59 W · 90 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 61c | 185.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Brute | 50c | 168.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 37c | 146.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Atreides | 38c | 131.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Brute | 57c | 107.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Atreides | 53c | 102.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Brute | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Brute | 49c | 91.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.24 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…e97bbacked Atreides | 49c | 77.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Brute | 40c | 70$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atreides | 61c | 64.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Brute | 19c | 58.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3815…6ce2backed Atreides | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Atreides | 31c | 44.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Brute | 42c | 43.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455a…57bbbacked Brute | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Brute | 35c | 38.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Brute | 31c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…24cdbacked Brute | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Atreides | 60c | 32.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Brute | 63c | 28.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Atreides | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4771…8663backed Brute | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…58cbbacked Atreides | 62c | 24.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Atreides | 63c | 19.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Atreides | 56c | 18.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Atreides | 79c | 18.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.