CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01d37d58f2ff0036c1969de58c8cf4711a63598e5f4a33956c7beea4b9c32159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FORZE Reload | 0c | 11,518$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 23c | 750$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked K27 | 77c | 644.98$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed FORZE Reload | 15c | 617.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed FORZE Reload | 19c | 470.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…70cdbacked FORZE Reload | 22c | 448.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed FORZE Reload | 7c | 224.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FORZE Reload | 16c | 187.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed FORZE Reload | 19c | 178.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked FORZE Reload | 19c | 108$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked K27 | 77c | 103.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed K27 | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed FORZE Reload | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FORZE Reload | 16c | 87.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed FORZE Reload | 18c | 79.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked K27 | 76c | 69.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed FORZE Reload | 22c | 57.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 77c | 52.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked K27 | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked K27 | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed FORZE Reload | 31c | 38.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -10.0wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed K27 | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0d…9115backed K27 | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.