MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x025d21dd9012724c5e1c82e0706277aaa20296ff3bd66ea78990ec23decc0bc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Texas Rangers, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,350 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas Rangers | 29c | 365.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 72.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 43.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf49f…2661backed Texas Rangers | 45c | 41.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Rangers | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 24.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x406c…ec46backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.