Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026d675a3c353748361eb83db14a143cece10adf43db91e9e2acf927a14b3c51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,837
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,837 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 1,370$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed Under | 62c | 929.24$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Over | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +457%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 70c | 641$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.3 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 70c | 584.1$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 410.29$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.95 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 61c | 294.7$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 188.24$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 75c | 173.47$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 61c | 119$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Under | 61c | 119$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 68c | 105$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Under | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Under | 61c | 98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 60c | 96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 59c | 91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +50%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 61c | 89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 60c | 83.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed Over | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 37c | 65.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 61c | 64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 60c | 61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 39c | 56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 31c | 47.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 25c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 60c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 40c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed Over | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed Over | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Over | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Over | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Under | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…3232backed Under | 61c | 17.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5this page
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sparta Rotterdam vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Sparta Rotterdam (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.