Lol · resolved market
LoL: Myth Esports vs mCon esports (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x027735b544ad97601fb0481aec42d0aed6d69899ea4e398e1477ae45386f1139
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mCon esportsof Myth Esports, mCon esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Myth Esports | 0c | 6,184$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked mCon esports | 59c | 1,153$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.36 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed mCon esports | 60c | 1,057$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.94 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Myth Esports | 40c | 1,005$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Myth Esports | 41c | 902.65$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.09 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed mCon esports | 45c | 890$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.03 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Myth Esports | 30c | 745$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.07 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…83bcbacked Myth Esports | 18c | 635$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Myth Esports | 50c | 484.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.26 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Myth Esports | 44c | 320.09$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Myth Esports | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed mCon esports | 52c | 194.13$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Myth Esports | 41c | 180.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed Myth Esports | 42c | 171.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed mCon esports | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked mCon esports | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed Myth Esports | 43c | 116.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Myth Esports | 41c | 109.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Myth Esports | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…31fcbacked Myth Esports | 75c | 92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked mCon esports | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked mCon esports | 29c | 78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Myth Esports | 71c | 78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Myth Esports | 68c | 72.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked mCon esports | 23c | 61.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +96%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Myth Esports | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…d04cbacked Myth Esports | 42c | 59.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…927abacked Myth Esports | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed mCon esports | 57c | 44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Myth Esports | 47c | 42.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…e4f7backed mCon esports | 59c | 31.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed mCon esports | 59c | 28.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…5f3bbacked Myth Esports | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 77cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed mCon esports | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.