Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Trailer Park Boys (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x029a90db1d4d6834bdfebf21d2c8fd09f6a5848e6bef6d48a1b62f409546aab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trailer Park Boysof Yangon Galacticos, Trailer Park Boys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Yangon Galacticos | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Trailer Park Boys | 56c | 8,105$4,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,566.03 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Trailer Park Boys | 56c | 1,727$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed Yangon Galacticos | 21c | 585.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Trailer Park Boys | 79c | 499.79$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yangon Galacticos | 42c | 300$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Trailer Park Boys | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yangon Galacticos | 7c | 141.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 326 | 6.4%21 W · 305 L | -101.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Trailer Park Boys | 62c | 130.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Yangon Galacticos | 28c | 109.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Trailer Park Boys | 62c | 106.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yangon Galacticos | 27c | 100.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Trailer Park Boys | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…65a4backed Trailer Park Boys | 72c | 90.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yangon Galacticos | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked Yangon Galacticos | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yangon Galacticos | 27c | 40.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…45aebacked Trailer Park Boys | 71c | 36.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…a698backed Trailer Park Boys | 61c | 23.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09cf…e8f8backed Trailer Park Boys | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Trailer Park Boys | 60c | 17.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Trailer Park Boys (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Trailer Park Boys - Game 1 WinnerTrailer Park Boys won
- Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs Trailer Park Boys - Game 2 WinnerTrailer Park Boys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.