CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs OG - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02c18b7d46875b341be86611cedcc3fc14efbad3bb85975a8e3f541ee30d639f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, OG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Inner Circle Esports | 54c | 2,570$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.74 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…4b3ebacked OG | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed OG | 48c | 504.49$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.66 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked OG | 42c | 422.91$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.64 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked OG | 41c | 406.29$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Inner Circle Esports | 31c | 350$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.66 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked OG | 48c | 338.52$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.72 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 68c | 308.33$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.33 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OG | 40c | 194$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 177$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 52c | 170$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked OG | 45c | 155.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed OG | 51c | 155$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 58c | 131.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Inner Circle Esports | 60c | 120.08$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 109.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…db38backed OG | 53c | 109.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Inner Circle Esports | 59c | 102$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Inner Circle Esports | 45c | 95.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed OG | 47c | 90.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked OG | 53c | 62.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Inner Circle Esports | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Inner Circle Esports | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed OG | 67c | 49.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 68c | 44.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed OG | 36c | 37.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Esports | 52c | 37.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Inner Circle Esports | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked OG | 38c | 26.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs OG - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs OG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Play-InInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs OG - Map 1 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.