CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs RED Canids (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02dd942546483a5d4acf64710a5f8bcbff416dd8853b997f1be489305ed94b9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof FOLHA AMARELA, RED Canids
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8c9…bf73backed FOLHA AMARELA | 1c | 1,825$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FOLHA AMARELA | 16c | 1,461$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.78 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 16c | 1,250$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed RED Canids | 75c | 707.29$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.17 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed FOLHA AMARELA | 20c | 691.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RED Canids | 78c | 633.05$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 16c | 343.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed FOLHA AMARELA | 27c | 221.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed RED Canids | 77c | 213.34$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 14c | 201.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed FOLHA AMARELA | 27c | 187.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed FOLHA AMARELA | 16c | 174.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 16c | 143.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOLHA AMARELA | 22c | 113.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb60f…17a6backed FOLHA AMARELA | 18c | 81.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…c02bbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 27c | 78.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 20c | 57.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…0effbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 26c | 54.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…360bbacked RED Canids | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed RED Canids | 77c | 50.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked RED Canids | 76c | 39.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…f2acbacked RED Canids | 76c | 31.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs RED Canids (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs RED Canids - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs RED Canids - Map 2 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.